China’s services sector expanded at a slower pace, according to a private survey reported by Bloomberg, breaking a run of strengthening activity that had lasted since July.
The useful number in this case is not a level Bloomberg’s RSS summary does not provide, but the direction: growth continued, just at a slower rate than economists expected. That matters because services have been one of the cleaner reads on domestic demand. A deceleration does not prove a turn, though it does suggest households and companies are not spending with much swagger.
Bloomberg said the survey pointed to weaker business confidence and lower selling prices even as input costs rose faster. That is an awkward combination. If companies are paying more for what they buy but charging less for what they sell, margins get squeezed. There are few corporate habits more reliable than passing on costs when they can. If they are cutting prices instead, demand may be doing the disciplining.
The summary does not identify the survey provider or give the index reading, so the evidence supports a narrow claim: momentum in services softened, and pricing power looked weaker. For markets, that is different from saying the sector contracted. It did not, based on the reported summary. It merely grew more slowly, which in China’s current economy is its own kind of message.
Isla Camilleri
Dua Mifsud
Harvey Jr.
Sophia Borg