Turkey is allowing the lira to fall more quickly in an effort to reduce the risk of a more abrupt devaluation later, Bloomberg reported, citing people with direct knowledge of remarks by central bank Governor Fatih Karahan at investor meetings in Bangkok.
That is a policy choice worth separating from the usual market melodrama. A currency sliding under official tolerance is not the same thing as a currency spiraling out of control. The distinction, if Karahan’s message was reported accurately, is that the central bank appears to prefer a managed loss of value over a bigger one forced by pent-up pressure.
What the Bloomberg summary does not establish is how fast the lira is being allowed to weaken, what exchange-rate path officials consider acceptable, or what other tools the central bank may be using alongside that stance. Investors got the intention. The harder number, as usual, is the limit.
Sophia Borg
Harvey Jr.
Gabriel Fenech