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Iran Hormuz Gamble: Oil Won't Wait for Oman

Houthi militants compounded the instability by claiming an attack on a Saudi refinery near the Red Sea — a second chokepoint now under active threat simultaneously.

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Iran Hormuz Gamble: Oil Won't Wait for Oman

Oil markets extended gains on Sunday as Iran and Oman failed to reach a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway through which roughly a fifth of the world's oil supply moves, leaving traders and importing nations with no clear timeline for relief.

The breakdown comes months into the conflict that began when the United States and Israel launched strikes against Iran in February, a campaign that has since spread pressure across the broader Middle East. Houthi militants compounded the instability by claiming an attack on a Saudi refinery near the Red Sea — a second chokepoint now under active threat simultaneously.

According to Bloomberg, the dual pressure on Persian Gulf and Red Sea supply corridors is pushing oil prices higher even as diplomatic channels remain technically open. Oman has positioned itself as the primary mediator, but the gap between Tehran's conditions and Washington's demands has so far proved unbridgeable.

The Hormuz closure, even partial, represents the most acute supply shock the oil market has faced in decades. Tanker insurance rates have surged, Asian importers are accelerating stockpiling, and several European governments have quietly begun drawing on strategic reserves, per Reuters reporting from the region.

What happens next depends almost entirely on a negotiation that has, for now, stalled. Oman has not confirmed whether talks continue or have collapsed entirely. Markets are pricing the uncertainty accordingly.

*By Isla Camilleri, Global Affairs & Lifestyle Editor — News Beast by FreeMalta.com*

Editor's Note
The thing about Hormuz is that it was never really about oil — it was always about who gets to say when the oil moves, and that question has been building since 1979.
Isla Camilleri
Isla Camilleri
Global Affairs & Lifestyle Editor
Isla Camilleri lost her mother at four, grew up in every city her diplomat father was posted to, married at 22 and left at 23, and came back to Malta to open a café-boutique in Valletta that sells couture and coffee to people who understand both. She covers the world the way someone searches for something — thoroughly, and without quite finding it.
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Ilhan Irem Yuce
Edited by Ilhan Irem Yuce · Chief Editor, News Beast