The Sagalytics poll conducted between 23-29 April delivers sobering news for the Nationalist Party, showing Labour positioned to win by approximately 28,000 votes. Even more striking for PN leader Alex Borg personally, Prime Minister Robert Abela leads him by a substantial 13.6 percentage points in the preferred PM stakes, according to Lovin Malta's coverage of the survey results.
Labour has responded to these favourable numbers by launching an ambitious policy blitz that spans education, mental health, and workplace flexibility. At the party's Valletta mass rally, Abela unveiled Individual Learning Accounts worth €5,000 for every child, alongside proposals giving employees the right to request remote working and flexible hours. The Prime Minister's message was characteristically optimistic: "Bring your dreams to us, we'll make them come true."
The ruling party's wellbeing agenda includes free mental health check-ups with psychologists of choice and a new Wellbeing Index that Abela claims will boost national wellbeing by 25%. Cultural heritage also features prominently, with Labour proposing free Heritage Malta passports for all citizens to access historic sites and museums.
Meanwhile, the Nationalist Party is fighting back with targeted economic proposals designed to ease financial pressures on working families. At a rally in Lija, Alex Borg announced plans to eliminate tax on the first €10,000 earned from overtime and part-time work. Despite trailing significantly in polls, Borg maintains the PN can overcome its "underdog" status, though the party acknowledges it faces an uphill battle.
The campaign has also seen notable personnel movements, with Omar Rababah announcing his Labour candidacy after being personally approached by Abela. Conversely, veteran Nationalist MP Carm Mifsud Bonnici's decision not to contest marks the end of a three-generation political dynasty, as reported by Newsbook.
The compressed campaign timeline has created unexpected complications, with advocacy group Momentum calling for cancellation of SEC examinations scheduled for 1 June, arguing students shouldn't "pay the price of disruption" caused by the snap election timing.
As Malta heads toward 30 May, key factors to monitor include whether the PN's economic proposals can dent Labour's substantial polling lead, how effectively Abela's expanded policy platform resonates with voters, and whether any late-campaign developments can shift what currently appears to be Labour's election to lose.
Isla Camilleri 
Alex de Valletta 
Elena Vella