Coinbase

Brian Armstrong was working as a software engineer at Airbnb in 2012 when he read the Bitcoin whitepaper and became convinced it was transformative. He quit Airbnb and co-founded Coinbase with Fred Ehrsam, a former Goldman Sachs trader, through Y Combinator. Their thesis was deliberate and contrarian to the rest of the crypto industry: compliance and regulation were not obstacles to be avoided, but competitive advantages to be pursued. While other exchanges operated offshore to avoid regulatory scrutiny, Coinbase sought every licence it could obtain. The strategy was expensive and slow. It proved decisive.

Coinbase had 13,000 users in 2012. By 2017's Bitcoin bull run, it had 15 million. The exchange became the on-ramp for mainstream America's first crypto purchases — the place where people converted dollars into Bitcoin for the first time. Coinbase built a custody business alongside its exchange: institutional-grade cold storage for Bitcoin and other digital assets, targeted at hedge funds, corporations, and sovereign entities that wanted crypto exposure but required enterprise security and insurance. The custody service would later become the most strategically valuable part of the business.

Coinbase went public through a direct listing on Nasdaq in April 2021, with shares opening at $381 and giving the company a market capitalisation of approximately $85 billion on day one. The listing was the first of a major crypto company on a US stock exchange and was widely interpreted as a coming-of-age moment for the crypto industry. At peak, Coinbase's market cap exceeded $100 billion. The company earned $1.8 billion in revenue in Q1 2021 alone, driven by trading fees during the crypto bull market.

The crypto market crash of 2022 devastated Coinbase: revenue fell 57% year-on-year, the company reported a $1 billion net loss, and its stock fell from $381 to below $40. The SEC sued Coinbase in June 2023, alleging it had been operating as an unregistered securities exchange. The case went to court and became the central regulatory battle defining whether crypto assets were securities. Coinbase fought back aggressively, arguing that the SEC's approach was regulatory overreach that would destroy the US crypto industry by driving it offshore.

Coinbase reported $6.6 billion in total revenue for 2024, with net income of $2.6 billion. The company's strategic position had been cemented by one development above all others: when the US Securities and Exchange Commission approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, followed by Ethereum ETFs in May 2024, virtually every major issuer — BlackRock, Fidelity, Ark, VanEck — chose Coinbase as their custodian. The most regulated crypto company in the United States had become the safekeeping infrastructure for Wall Street's entry into crypto. Every dollar that institutional America moved into Bitcoin or Ethereum passed through Coinbase custody. The Airbnb engineer who had believed in compliance as a competitive advantage had been right.